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Frazier Allen – 2017 Outlook: Opportunity and Uncertainty

F&M Investment Services - Raymond James - Clarksville, TNClarksville, TN – Each quarter, the Raymond James Investment Strategy Committee completes a detailed survey sharing their views on the investment environment, and their responses are the basis for a discussion of key themes and investment implications covered in this quarter’s Investment Strategy Quarterly.

Read an overview of the key themes below, or download the entire publication for a more thorough view of the markets and the economy.

The Raymond James Investment Strategy Committee weighs in on market trends, economic conditions and the outlook for investors in 2017. [1]

The Raymond James Investment Strategy Committee weighs in on market trends, economic conditions and the outlook for investors in 2017.

Headwinds and Tailwinds

Economic and financial market headwinds for the next six to twelve months include a strong dollar, rising interest rates and policy uncertainty. Top tailwinds include a healthy job market, potential for fiscal stimulus and accommodative monetary policy.

U.S. Economy

– Scott Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist, Equity Research

International Equity

Europe

– Chris Bailey, European Strategist, Raymond James Euro Equities*

China

– Chris Bailey, European Strategist, Raymond James Euro Equities*

– Paul Berg, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Cougar Global Investments*

U.S. Equity

– Jeff Saut, Chief Investment Strategist, Equity Research

– Andrew Adams, CMT, Senior Research Associate, Equity Research

Michael Gibbs, Managing Director of Equity Portfolio & Technical Strategy

Fixed Income

– Doug Drabik, Senior Strategist, Fixed Income

– Benjamin Streed, CFA, Strategist, Fixed Income

– James Camp, CFA, Managing Director of Fixed Income, Eagle Asset Management*

Real Estate

– Paul Puryear, Director of Real Estate Research

Energy and Oil

– Pavel Molchanov, Senior Vice Presi­dent, Energy Analyst, Equity Research

Alternative Investments

– Jennifer Suden, Director of Alternative Investments Research 

 

[2] Read the full January 2017
Investment Strategy Quarterly.

 

*An affiliate of Raymond James & Associates and Raymond James Financial Services.

All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of Raymond James and are subject to change. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. There is no assurance the trends mentioned will con­tinue or that the forecasts discussed will be realized. Investing involves risks, including the possible loss of capital. International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability. These risks are greater in emerging markets.

Companies engaged in business related to a specific sector are subject to fierce competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. Alternative investment strategies involve greater risks and are only appropriate for the most sophisticated, knowledgeable and wealthiest of investors. You should only invest in managed futures if you do not require a liquid investment and can bear the risk of substantial losses.

While interest on municipal bonds is generally exempt from federal income tax, it may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax, or state or local taxes. Profits and losses on federally tax-exempt bonds may be subject to capital gains tax treatment. In addition, certain municipal bonds (such as Build America Bonds) are issued without a federal tax exemption, which subjects the related interest income to federal income tax. Asset allocation does not ensure a profit nor protect against loss. Beta compares volatility of a security with an index, such as the S&P 500.

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) involve risks such as refinancing, economic conditions in the real estate industry, changes in property values and dependency on real estate management. Investing in smaller, newer companies generally involves greater risks than investing in larger, more established companies, and may not be appropriate for every investor.

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